I forgot to mention that I sat down and had a beer with a Trump supporter the other day. I didn't know he was such until he said, "Trump 2016, you know." He had just finished fixing my A/C and I'm a nice guy in person so the conversation went alright. I tried to find common ground. My wife just left the room because she doesn't put up with crazy. The guy wished we could dig up Reagan and prop his bones up in the Oval. I never got around to explaining how Reagan is the "devil" because we pivoted to religion and such...
It was a banger day- that is for sure.
And while I put stock in Nate and the work 538 does, they already admitted once that they were wrong regarding Sanders' momentum being over. And I think it is too far out to give it to Clinton yet.
On the republican side, I'm thinking more like Kasich/Rubio. Ohio and Florida are both swing states. Kasich comes off as a moderate republican and can pull more moderate independents- at least in theory. Rubio is Rubio and won't pull independents but he might help win Florida- which is really all he has to be good for. I probably said this all before but I'm lazy. Walker is done if the Kochs dropped support. Granted Bush has tons of money at this point- so he can be in it as long as he wants.
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